It’s a tradition since I’m blogging. Every year in august, I’m waiting for the new edition of the Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, edited by Gartner. Here is the 2012 one that has just been published.
After all these years looking at it, I’ve come to the conclusion that we do not have to see this cycle as granted, but more as something that gives us some perspective, that validates some trends etc. Very often, it’ll be true, by showing the current state of a technology and the time it will need to reach maturity, but sometimes, this time is really bad evaluated, because markets change unexpectedly. I really invite you to compare the different editions (see below for links).
A few interesting things for this year’s cycle:
- 3D Printing, BYOD (Bring Your Own Device) and Social Analytics are at the peak
- Virtual words are still in the through, as last year
- Cloud Computing starts to be less trendy, which is not a surprise.
- I’m surprise to see that Gamification is considered as having not yet reached the peak
- It should take more than 10 years for the Internet of Things to have a mainstream adoption. I bet this will be at the peak next year.
- Crowdsourcing, which is part of the Web 2.0 era, is back here in the trigger. This is definitely the Kickstarter effect.
- While Speech Recognition is reaching the plateau of productivity, related technology speech to speech recognition will be soon at the peak.
And if you want to compare it with previous editions:
This year edition found via Syscon